The sudden death of President Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash on May 19, 2024, has thrust the Islamic Republic into a period of forced transition. While such a high-level vacancy might suggest a moment of vulnerability, the institutional response in Tehran has been remarkably swift, signaling a commitment to continuity rather than collapse. For…
As we head into March 2026, the diplomatic calendar is heating up. For an administration built on the “Art of the Deal,” the question isn’t if the President will be on the phone, but who will be on the other end. Direct leader-to-leader communication has always been a hallmark of this presidency, and the coming…
Predicting the sudden collapse of a state that has spent four decades bulletproofing its institutions is a tall order. As we approach the April 30 deadline, the question isn’t just about public anger or street protests; it’s about the structural integrity of the Islamic Republic’s “deep state.” To see a “Yes” resolution, we would need…